Articles Vol. 65 No. CĐ 8 - Trường ĐH Nguyễn Tất Thành 09/09/2024

25. CORRELATION BETWEEN POPULATION AND LIFE EXPECTANCY IN VIETNAM FROM 1950 TO 2021

Tran Thi Anh Thu1,2, Phan Thi Truc Thuy3,4, Che Thi Thuy Dieu5,6, Lam Son Bao Vi7,8, Duong Cong Thinh7,8, Nguyen Thanh Dat9,10, Tran Thi Chien11,12, Hoang Thi Thuy Trang13,14, On Thanh Hoang1,2, Thong Thien Sang15,16, Ho Hoang Vu15,16, Nguyen Thi Thanh Truc15,16
1 Binh Thanh District Medical Center
2 Trung tâm Y tế Quận Bình Thạnh
3 Branch of National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health in The Southern Vietnam
4 Phân viện Khoa Học An Toàn Vệ Sinh Lao Động và Bảo Vệ Môi Trường Miền Nam
5 Dong Nai General Hospital
6 Bệnh viện đa khoa Đồng Nai
7 Pham Ngoc Thach University of Medicine
8 Trường Đại học Y khoa Phạm Ngọc Thạch
9 Children's Hospital 2
10 Bệnh viện Nhi Đồng 2
11 University Medical Center - Ho Chi Minh City
12 Bệnh viện Đại học Y Dược Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
13 Hung Vuong Hospital
14 Bệnh viện Hùng Vương
15 University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh
16 Đại học Y Dược Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Corresponding author: Trananhthu1102@gmail.com
DOI: 10.52163/yhc.v65iCD8.1478
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Abstract

Background: Life expectancy is the primary measure to assess the health quality of the population. In general, many studies have been conducted to predict life expectancy in countries related to economics and other factors such as education, gender, education, and environment. However, research on population size affecting life expectancy was still rare.

Objectives: To determine the correlation between Vietnam's total population and life expectancy from 1950-2021.

Material and Methods: The study used secondary data from open source on the UN website. Data collected the total population, life expectancy, population growth rate, population density, and urban population in Vietnam from 1950 to 2021… Using the linear regression model to test the association between variables. Multivariate regression model selected univariate related factors with life expectancy (p<0.05) to consider the relevance in the same model.

Results: In the period 1950 – 1975, the data showed no linear correlation between characteristics such as total population, population density, population growth rate, urban population, and life expectancy. In 1976-2021, the multivariate model recorded a positive correlation between total population and life expectancy and an inverse correlation between population growth rate and life expectancy.

Conclusion: The total population and average life expectancy increased sharply from 1950 to 2021. To improve the average life expectancy when the population has stabilized, it is necessary to focus on developing options to control the population growth rate at an equilibrium level.

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